Critics warn police use of automated risk assessments exacerbates racism and prejudice, as EU lawmakers push for strict regulation of predictive policing
* Use of AI technology in policing is rising around Europe
* EU lawmakers voted to push to restrict predictive policing
* Human rights groups warn AI enforces racial and ethnic bias
By Arthur Neslen
BRUSSELS, Oct 20 (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – Damien Sardjoe was 14 when the Amsterdam police put him on the city’s Top 600 criminals list, which sets people thought to be at risk of committing “high-impact crimes” such as robbery, assault and murder on a regime of care and punishment.
That was when his life began to fall apart.
Sardjoe had previously been arrested for two street robberies – one of which was violent. But his inclusion on the list meant police would raid his home whenever a crime happened in his area, he said, while officers routinely stopped him on the street asking for ID.
“I felt very spied on,” Sardjoe, now a 20-year-old youth worker, told the Thomson Reuters Foundation in a video-conferencing interview. “I didn’t feel comfortable walking on the street.”
Sardjoe’s older brother was placed on another automated list – the Top 400 children at risk of criminal behaviour – before he had ever committed a crime, and then went on to become involved in stealing scooters, he added.
The “top criminal” tag felt “almost like a self-fulfilling prophecy,” Sardjoe said.
Amid warnings from rights groups that artificial intelligence (AI) technologies reinforce prejudice in policing, the debate over systems like the Top 600 list kicked up a notch this month, when MEPs voted for a report proposing strict regulation of predictive policing.
Officials said the non-binding report, which also calls to outlaw the use of mass biometric surveillance, should become Parliament’s position for coming negotiations on a new AI law.
“We want to make sure certain types of AI, like facial recognition or predictive policing, cannot be used easily because they affect fundamental human rights,” Petar Vitanov, the Socialist lawmaker who wrote the report, said in a phone interview.
The use of automated risk modelling and profiling systems to predict future criminal activity has already been banned in cities like Santa Cruz and New Orleans amid accusations that they reinforce racist policing patterns.
“They treat everyone as suspects to some extent,” said Sarah Chander, senior policy advisor at the European Digital Rights network (EDRi).
“But (they) will be disproportionately used against racialised people … who are perceived to be potential migrants, terrorists, poor and working-class people, in poor, working-class areas.”
The Netherlands police declined to comment on the Top 600 and 400 schemes, referring inquiries to Amsterdam’s city council, which in turn said they were the responsibility of the police.
POLICING BY ALGORITHM
Europe’s law enforcement and criminal justice authorities are increasingly using technologies like predictive policing to profile people and assess their likelihood to commit crimes, according to Fair Trials, a partly EU-funded civil rights group.
One much-criticised Dutch project, which ran between January 2019 and October 2020, aimed to counter crimes like shoplifting in the southeastern city of Roermond.
The Sensing Project used remote sensors in and around the city to detect the make, colour and route of cars carrying people suspected of what police call “mobile banditry”.
Merel Koning, senior policy officer at human rights group Amnesty International, said the system mainly targeted people from east European countries and specifically Roma, referring to members of Europe’s largest ethnic minority.
But the focus was not in line with internal police crime figures for previous years, Amnesty says.
Dutch police spokeswoman Mireille Beentjes said the project’s scope went beyond pickpockets and was not predictive as the data used “always (had) a human check”.
“We know these kinds of criminals often come from eastern Europe,” she said in an email. “However, an eastern European license by itself was never enough to draw our special attention. More features were needed for that.”
The programme ended because the police did not have enough capacity to follow up project data, according to Dutch police.
In Denmark, the POL-INTEL project, based on the Gotham system designed by U.S. data analytics firm Palantir and operational since 2017, uses a mapping system to build a so-called heat map identifying areas with higher crime rates.
The data appears to include citizenship information, such as whether a person in the system is “a non-Western Dane,” according to Matt Mahmoudi, an affiliated lecturer and researcher on digital society at the University of Cambridge. “We want an indication of why citizenship data – or non-Western data – matters in being able to produce a heat map,” he said.
Magnus Andresen, a senior Danish National Police officer, confirmed that POL-INTEL contains nationality and citizenship data, but would not comment on why.
The police do not have any statistics on the system’s effectiveness in combatting terrorism or crime, Andresen said.
But he added it is being used to support most of the force’s operational decisions, like stop and searches, through the use of a “finder function” which quickly locates data on people, places, objects and events.
Courtney Bowman, Palantir’s director of privacy, said decisions on the data gathered by the Gotham system – which has also been used by the European police agency Europol and the Hesse state police in Germany – were “always determinations made by customers”.
“The software is designed to enable human-driven analysis for a posteriori investigations (based on prior evidence) and not to provide algorithmic-based predictive policing capabilities,” he said.
A CALL FOR CLARITY
Pushback against institutions and companies linked to “predictive policing” has gone so far that digital experts say even the U.S. firm which pioneered the tech, formerly called PredPol – short for predictive policing – now distances itself from the term.
The company’s system uses algorithms to analyse police records and identify crime-ridden areas to proactively determine when and where officers patrol.
“However, what we do isn’t ‘predictive’, what we do is create location-based risk assessments based on historical crime patterns. This is why we changed our name from PredPol to Geolitica earlier this year,” said CEO Brian MacDonald.
“Any of these approaches using open, auditable data and algorithms to identify crime hotspots will always be better than relying on officer ‘intuition’,” he added in emailed comments.
But police use of AI technology is still “extremely controversial”, said Tom McNeil, assistant police and crime commissioner for the West Midlands Police in Britain, which is working with about eight types of automated modelling system.
He called for more oversight in the way the technology is used by authorities, adding that he personally favours a ban on the use of live facial recognition surveillance, as proposed in the European Commission’s AI Act.
“We need a (British) law to clarify what should and shouldn’t be allowed, including red lines over when you shouldn’t be allowed to use facial recognition or (predictive) analytics,” McNeil said.
In Amsterdam, Damien Sardjoe has been off the Top 600 list for three years now and works in a programme encouraging others to shun crime.
“There was a moment in my life where I thought: ‘They already think I’m a criminal, so I might as well do criminal stuff’ – because they don’t expect anything better,” he said wearily.
“Right now, I’m helping boys or kids who are going through what I went through because all I needed then was a person who understood that (experience).”
(Reporting by Arthur Neslen. Editing by Jumana Farouky and Zoe Tabary. Please credit the Thomson Reuters Foundation, the charitable arm of Thomson Reuters, that covers the lives of people around the world who struggle to live freely or fairly. Visit http://news.trust.org)
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